Guerrero Coast · Pacific Mexico · 17.59°N, 101.43°W

Weather.

Hourly + 7-day + active storm watch. Layered with a locally-calibrated rain trigger (3-hour pressure delta + humidity + CAPE) for the Pacific Mexico coast — surfaces rain Open-Meteo's generic probability sometimes misses.

Loading current conditions…
Next 48 hours

Hourly

Reading the cellsBig number = expected mm of rain that hour. Small % below = Open-Meteo probability. Blue cells = rain expected or elevated probability. Amber cells = locally-calibrated trigger fires harder than Open-Meteo (pressure drop or CAPE buildup the global model is underweighting — watch the sky).
Next 7 days · tap any day to expand

Daily

Each row is one day with its rain window summary. Click to expand for the full storm breakdown — start/end times, total mm, peak hourly rate, max gust, confidence, sideways-rain risk, and the hour-by-hour ramp.

Live storm tracking

Satellite & radar

Read this first The "Radar" button won't show much — there is essentially no ground-radar coverage along the Pacific Mexico coast (the nearest station is Manzanillo, 250+ km away, often unavailable). To actually see incoming storms, use Satellite (live GOES-East cloud imagery) or Rain forecast (ECMWF model). That's where real precipitation shows up here.
Open in Windy ↗
Right now

Air quality

How this works

Storm watch

Active East Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP) tropical cyclones are pulled from the National Hurricane Center's CurrentStorms.json advisory feed every 15 minutes. For each storm within 1,500 km of Saladita, we compute current distance and bearing, then project closest pass over the next 5 days assuming constant heading + speed (linear extrapolation, valid ±24h, increasingly rough beyond 48h — NHC's official cone is always tighter). Severity ladder: critical ≤200 km projected, warning ≤500 km, advisory ≤800 km current distance, watch within 1,500 km.

Rain prediction — Open-Meteo vs locally calibrated

Open-Meteo's precipitation_probability is from a multi-model ensemble (ECMWF, GFS, ICON). It's reliable globally but tuned for the median Earth — it tends to under-call short-warning convective rain on tropical coasts. Our locally-calibrated trigger adds: 3-hour mean-sea-level pressure delta (≤ -2 mb is a known wet-season precursor on the Pacific Mexico coast), relative humidity (≥85% saturates the signal), CAPE (≥1500 J/kg means atmosphere primed to convect), and cloud-cover modifier. The two probabilities are shown separately so you can see where they diverge. We're not claiming to beat ECMWF — we're catching the cases where it under-calls Saladita-specific signals.

Why no condition rating like Surfline

Generic 1-10 condition ratings collapse too much information. We show the raw data — temp, conditions, rain probability, wind, period — and let you read it. The two place exceptions: the storm-watch severity ladder (because it drives action), and the rain-elevated / calibrated-divergence cell coloring on the hourly strip (because it draws your eye to the hours that matter).

Data sources

Weather + air quality: Open-Meteo (CC-BY).
Tropical cyclones: NOAA National Hurricane Center.
Locally-calibrated rain trigger: in-house, empirical thresholds for the Pacific Mexico coast wet season; subject to refinement as ground-truth observations accumulate.